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Trans. Planning Journal
| Title | Forecasting the Impact of Taiwan High Speed Rail System on Local Development |
|---|---|
| Author | Jen-Jia Lin, Cheng-Min Feng, Lin-Chi Huang |
| Summary | Taiwan High Speed Rail (HSR) system will begin to operate in 2006, the dream of making the western Taiwan into a one-day living area will then come true. Based on the experiences of freeway’s influences, HSR might significantly influence regional, as well as local development in Taiwan. Taiwan HSR system includes not only travel service, but also the station area development projects (SADP). Therefore, the impact of Taiwan HSR system is resulted from two sources: HSR and SADP. This study focused on the local development impact of Taiwan HSR system. Simultaneous equation modeling is applied for analyzing the cause-effect relationships of local development, which is calibrated by the samples of 323 villages, towns or cities in Taiwan. The calibration data includes population, industry, land use and travel demand. Based on the calibrated model, the impact of improving accessibility, increasing urban development land, and different strategies related with HSR system were analyzed and discussed. We concluded as follows: Firstly, the improvement of accessibility positively influenced the local development of population and industry. Secondly, the increase of urban development land resulted in more positive influences on the local development of population and industry than the accessibility improvement does. Finally, improving the transportation feeder systems of the HSR stations enhanced local development of population and industry. |
| Vol. | 34 |
| No. | 3 |
| Page | 391 |
| Year | 2005 |
| Month | 9 |
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