| Title | The Research for Recalibrating Transport Energy Consumption / GHG assessment model |
| Dept | Transportation Energy and Environment Division |
| Year | 2017 |
| Month | 8 |
| Price | |
| Summary | To assess the long-term energy consumption and carbon emission in the transport sector, it is necessary to survey transport sector energy consumption trends. The institute established the computable general equilibrium model (CGE model) in 2011.The adopted Social Accounting Matrix table (SAM table) for the base year came from the 2006 input-output table at that time. However, the surface transport industries have significant changed their operation environment after 2006. Specifically, the High Speed Rail and Kaohsiung Mass Rapid transit systems all launched after then. The Taiwan Ministry of Transportation and Communications started a series of road public transport improvement plans as well. The preceding scenario was not considered in the established CGE model. The input-output table on 2011 has been released in the January of 2015. The table has accounted for the above-mentioned transport industry development factors. Therefore, the study has compiled the SAM table sourcing from the input-output table of 2011. The study also calibrates the CGE model in line with the recent population and socio-economic trend prediction. Furthermore, the study estimates the 2 optimistic and 1 pessimistic carbon emission scenarios, respectively. The study depicts the future trends of transport demand and carbon emissions according to the proposed model. The research also concluded the future transport energy scenarios in the transport sector. |
| Post date | 2017/09/15 |
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